Ben Franklin famously penned, “in this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes.” I would venture to guess that if he were around today, he would allow me to include stock market volatility as a third item on that list. But fortunately, unlike the other two examples, market volatility is typically short-lived and doesn’t have to be a permanent impediment to future success. In fact, sudden changes in prices to reflect newly available information is normal and ... [Continue Reading]
Updates and articles on timely topics from the Investment Team.
Investors are prone to recency bias, a key aspect of behavioral finance that favors recent events over historic ones, and as an example, can result in focusing on companies that have generated the best returns in recent years as opposed to taking a longer view. What's important to remember is that, over time, each area of the market has its moment in the sun; internet stocks in the late 90s, commodities and real estate in the early 2000s, alternative investment strategies during the global ... [Continue Reading]
What a difference a year can make. Last April, we were discussing the uncertainty and unprecedented events of the early pandemic. The daily headlines seemed to rotate between record unemployment claims, increasing infection rates, a locked down economy, and a wildly volatile stock market. In contrast, our attention today is focused on millions of new jobs being added to payrolls, ever-higher vaccination rates, an economy that is opening up, and one of the strongest one-year stock market returns ... [Continue Reading]
Reflecting on a year gone by is often, at least to some extent, an exercise in revisionist history. This isn’t necessarily a bad thing; many of the differences between our memories and experiences are minor and inconsequential. In some cases, the variations in these realities can help us persevere and move out of the past and into future endeavors. But as investors, revising the memories of the past can be problematic and potentially hinder future success. Behavioral finance is the study of ... [Continue Reading]
The upcoming U.S. election is proving to be one of the most highly contested and polarizing in recent history. With control of the presidency, house, and senate on the line, in addition to a multitude of key state and local races occurring across the country, the stakes are clearly high. Adding further complexity and complication to the mix, we continue to navigate the challenges of a global pandemic, where the health and safety of the electorate are at risk. It may come as no surprise that ... [Continue Reading]