As the chart below shows, 2020’s second-quarter rise in equity market performance was as dramatic as the previous quarter’s decline. With plenty of bumps along the way, the S&P 500 is now up more than 40% from the bottom on March 23. 1 If we view these recent extreme market events as isolated time periods, we can see the sharp contrast between the first two quarters of 2020 (Chart 1, below). These quarters were truly “tail events.” Q1 produced the fifth worst return, and Q2 ... [Continue Reading]
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The events of the past quarter hold no superlative or adjective strong enough to capture the disruption and change that many are experiencing. What would have been hyperbole just days or weeks earlier, was quickly becoming our reality. During the past two months, we’ve been introduced to many new terms and experiences like social distancing, sheltering-in-place, and virtual hang outs with friends and family. What was once saved for extreme snow days in Minnesota, distance learning, is now just ... [Continue Reading]
As investors, every single one of us is prone to a range of emotions during periods of market volatility: fear, anxiety, optimism, greed, regret, and more. We’re not alone in this experience; there are millions of investors going through these same emotions with us each and every day. The incredible reality of the market is that no one precisely knows what the future holds, when the stock market will bottom out, or what the ultimate economic and human impact will be of the COVID-19 ... [Continue Reading]
As markets wait to hear the details of an upcoming Federal Government stimulus bill, the Federal Reserve has been regularly announcing steps it is taking to ensure market liquidity. A recent piece from the Council on Foreign Relations describes the various steps that have been taken, as well as further steps that the Federal Reserve can take if necessary. ... [Continue Reading]
The market is digesting a large volume of new information, spanning from coronavirus and continuing trade war negotiations to a second inversion of the yield curve and, of course, an upcoming presidential election. Vanguard’s recent "Market Perspectives" touches on a number of these issues. While each issue is important for investors to be aware of, it's also important to remember that the market is constantly incorporating new information into stock prices, as well as expectations for ... [Continue Reading]